₿ Backtest 12 mois — BTCUSDT perp 1h · 100$ · 50x · réinvesti

2025-11-11 → 2026-11-113★ KZ LDN+NY+ASIA · halfwalk-forward strict (zéro look-ahead)
Capital final149916.23$+149816.2% sur la période
Trades7536 longs · 39 shorts
Winrate67%50W / 25L
Drawdown max-43.7%à 50x — surveiller

📈 Courbe d'équité (100$ → 149916.23$)

159485$100$

📊 Variantes testées

VarianteCapital finalTradesDD
3★ sans killzone · tp1211091.79$5443%
3★ KZ NY · tp111046.60$3847.1%
3★ KZ LDN · tp11910.92$1630.1%
3★ KZ ASIA · tp1-3.88$19101.2%
3★ KZ LDN+NY · tp1211091.79$5443%
3★ KZ LDN+NY+ASIA · tp1-9684.35$64108.6%
3★ KZ NY+ASIA · tp1-544.35$51105%
3★ KZ LDN+ASIA · tp1-69.03$32104.1%
3★ sans killzone · tp2211091.79$5443%
3★ KZ NY · tp211046.60$3847.1%
3★ KZ LDN · tp21910.92$1630.1%
3★ KZ ASIA · tp2-3.88$19101.2%
3★ KZ LDN+NY · tp2211091.79$5443%
3★ KZ LDN+NY+ASIA · tp2-9684.35$64108.6%
3★ KZ NY+ASIA · tp2-544.35$51105%
3★ KZ LDN+ASIA · tp2-69.03$32104.1%
3★ sans killzone · half92507.93$5425.2%
3★ KZ NY · half7000.29$3816.1%
3★ KZ LDN · half1321.49$1610.8%
3★ KZ ASIA · half152.33$2257.2%
3★ KZ LDN+NY · half92507.93$5425.2%
3★ KZ LDN+NY+ASIA · half149916.23$7543.7%
3★ KZ NY+ASIA · half11344.51$5938.5%
3★ KZ LDN+ASIA · half2013.08$3832.9%
4★ KZ NY · tp25994.25$2557.2%

Les 75 trades

Date entréeSensEntréeSortieP&LCapital
18/11/25 03:00SHORT ★★★9192690812+19.71$119.71$
23/11/25 03:00SHORT ★★★8601786387-3.59$116.12$
24/11/25 17:00LONG ★★★8623387214+21.29$137.41$
26/11/25 02:00LONG ★★★★8733186838-8.24$129.16$
03/12/25 08:00SHORT ★★★9391692735+26.57$155.73$
04/12/25 02:00LONG ★★★9299693525+11.93$167.66$
11/12/25 17:00SHORT ★★★★9000189666+13.33$180.98$
13/12/25 16:00SHORT ★★★9029989940+8.04$189.03$
31/12/25 08:00LONG ★★★★8845589068+37.80$226.83$
02/01/26 16:00LONG ★★★★8890088775-21.58$205.25$
05/01/26 16:00LONG ★★★9249292684+1.82$207.07$
07/01/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★9195391213+50.07$257.13$
08/01/26 08:00SHORT ★★★★9078089875+80.75$337.88$
08/01/26 09:00LONG ★★★8971389927+5.01$342.90$
12/01/26 02:00LONG ★★★9071191464+43.07$385.96$
13/01/26 17:00LONG ★★★9207692676+35.58$421.54$
16/01/26 16:00SHORT ★★★9538395575-23.30$398.24$
28/01/26 17:00LONG ★★★8910789746+41.64$439.88$
29/01/26 16:00SHORT ★★★★8779587071+109.73$549.61$
05/02/26 03:00SHORT ★★★★7251170039+669.80$1219.41$
05/02/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★6953368869+363.68$1583.09$
06/02/26 08:00SHORT ★★★★6615465240+724.78$2307.87$
08/02/26 09:00LONG ★★★★6930369781+458.45$2766.32$
12/02/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★★6783266474+1911.97$4678.29$
18/02/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★6810067727+680.85$5359.14$
19/02/26 16:00SHORT ★★★6646966702-395.98$4963.16$
23/02/26 02:00SHORT ★★★6757667197+373.72$5336.88$
17/03/26 03:00SHORT ★★★7598875343+688.95$6025.83$
17/03/26 17:00LONG ★★★★7371174663+2556.14$8581.97$
30/03/26 03:00SHORT ★★★6657966773-571.45$8010.52$
31/03/26 03:00LONG ★★★6677167070+432.83$8443.35$
14/04/26 16:00LONG ★★★★7447274902+1320.53$9763.88$
27/04/26 03:00LONG ★★★★7837077802-585.83$9178.05$
03/05/26 03:00LONG ★★★★7844478359-799.68$8378.37$
04/05/26 02:00LONG ★★★7849778324-482.00$7896.37$
06/05/26 17:00LONG ★★★★8143281837+1000.76$8897.13$
08/05/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★8016279851+763.70$9660.83$
10/05/26 16:00LONG ★★★★8083781148+817.51$10478.33$
12/05/26 17:00SHORT ★★★8074380178+1059.84$11538.17$
17/05/26 02:00SHORT ★★★★7821578065+136.12$11674.30$
19/05/26 03:00SHORT ★★★★7725577883-700.46$10973.84$
23/05/26 17:00SHORT ★★★7554375656-329.22$10644.62$
28/05/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★7347973289+393.49$11038.12$
17/06/26 09:00SHORT ★★★★6581965318+2488.47$13526.59$
18/06/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★6394062846+7869.27$21395.86$
24/06/26 16:00SHORT ★★★★6241760435+24190.86$45586.72$
05/07/26 02:00LONG ★★★★6290962714-2735.20$42851.51$
16/07/26 08:00LONG ★★★6461664854+1670.75$44522.26$
17/07/26 08:00SHORT ★★★★6345862868+12832.00$57354.26$
18/07/26 16:00LONG ★★★★6397764140+2038.48$59392.73$
20/07/26 03:00LONG ★★★★6451664252-3563.56$55829.17$
20/07/26 08:00LONG ★★★★6409963975-6044.36$49784.82$
27/07/26 17:00LONG ★★★6448264387-2405.56$47379.25$
28/07/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★6343163578-5599.45$41779.80$
31/07/26 03:00SHORT ★★★★6470765067-8325.99$33453.82$
31/07/26 16:00SHORT ★★★★6368963103+9530.60$42984.42$
06/08/26 17:00LONG ★★★★6459064303-2579.07$40405.35$
08/08/26 16:00LONG ★★★★6498165107+525.37$40930.73$
11/08/26 16:00SHORT ★★★6420563769+3992.59$44923.31$
18/08/26 17:00SHORT ★★★6498964690+2527.60$47450.92$
19/08/26 09:00LONG ★★★★6419564733+12079.62$59530.54$
21/08/26 08:00LONG ★★★★7510376994+52629.44$112159.98$
22/08/26 08:00LONG ★★★★7711576743-6729.60$105430.38$
25/08/26 03:00LONG ★★★★7914677463-6325.82$99104.56$
06/09/26 09:00SHORT ★★★7987279351+9147.85$108252.41$
21/09/26 09:00LONG ★★★★8140481913+18912.76$127165.17$
24/09/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★8407084685-7629.91$119535.26$
01/10/26 17:00LONG ★★★★8387884522+27217.45$146752.71$
06/10/26 02:00SHORT ★★★★★8585586610-8805.16$137947.55$
10/10/26 17:00LONG ★★★★8283783017+2963.88$140911.43$
11/10/26 16:00LONG ★★★8300083208+2401.75$143313.18$
12/10/26 08:00LONG ★★★★8379683489-8598.79$134714.39$
18/10/26 03:00SHORT ★★★8157581631-5197.42$129516.97$
24/10/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★8056379937+29968.38$159485.35$
26/10/26 02:00SHORT ★★★★8023680816-9569.12$149916.23$
Méthodologie (walk-forward strict) : chaque étoile est calculée UNIQUEMENT avec les bougies jusqu'à la formation de la zone · fraîcheur rejouée entre formation et entrée (une zone percée avant l'entrée est annulée) · TP/SL 100% locaux à la zone (SL = bord + 25% de hauteur, TP1 = 1R, TP2 = 2R — jamais le prix final) · confirmation (toucher + clôture dans le sens) puis fill au bord de zone à la bougie suivante · sortie simulée bougie par bougie, SL-first sur ambiguïté · 3★ demi-taille / 4★+ pleine · frais 0,12% · 50x réinvesti · 1 position max · killzones Asie (2h-4h, Tokyo 9h-11h) / London (8h-10h) / NY (15h30-17h30, heure Bruxelles) testées en variantes (crypto 24/7).
⚠️ Franchise : backtest idéal (pas de slippage/spread/funding, liquidité parfaite). Échantillon court = pas significatif statistiquement. En réel, attends-toi à beaucoup moins. Le risque = le drawdown à 50x : prévois 20-25x de levier réel pour diviser le DD par 2.
Généré le 11/11/2026 12:22:53 — données Binance Futures BTCUSDT 1h. ← Tous les backtests