₿ Backtest 12 mois — BTCUSDT perp 1h · 100$ · 50x · réinvesti

2025-11-11 → 2026-11-113★ sans killzone · tp1walk-forward strict (zéro look-ahead)
Capital final211091.79$+210991.8% sur la période
Trades5426 longs · 28 shorts
Winrate78%42W / 12L
Drawdown max-43%à 50x — surveiller

📈 Courbe d'équité (100$ → 211091.79$)

257041$100$

📊 Variantes testées

VarianteCapital finalTradesDD
3★ sans killzone · tp1211091.79$5443%
3★ KZ LDN+NY · tp1211091.79$5443%
3★ sans killzone · tp2211091.79$5443%
3★ KZ LDN+NY · tp2211091.79$5443%
3★ KZ LDN+NY+ASIA · half149916.23$7543.7%
3★ sans killzone · half92507.93$5425.2%
3★ KZ LDN+NY · half92507.93$5425.2%
3★ KZ NY+ASIA · half11344.51$5938.5%
3★ KZ NY · tp111046.60$3847.1%
3★ KZ NY · tp211046.60$3847.1%
3★ KZ NY · half7000.29$3816.1%
4★ KZ NY · tp25994.25$2557.2%
3★ KZ LDN+ASIA · half2013.08$3832.9%
3★ KZ LDN · tp11910.92$1630.1%
3★ KZ LDN · tp21910.92$1630.1%
3★ KZ LDN · half1321.49$1610.8%
3★ KZ ASIA · half152.33$2257.2%
3★ KZ ASIA · tp1-3.88$19101.2%
3★ KZ ASIA · tp2-3.88$19101.2%
3★ KZ LDN+ASIA · tp1-69.03$32104.1%
3★ KZ LDN+ASIA · tp2-69.03$32104.1%
3★ KZ NY+ASIA · tp1-544.35$51105%
3★ KZ NY+ASIA · tp2-544.35$51105%
3★ KZ LDN+NY+ASIA · tp1-9684.35$64108.6%
3★ KZ LDN+NY+ASIA · tp2-9684.35$64108.6%

Les 54 trades

Date entréeSensEntréeSortieP&LCapital
24/11/25 17:00LONG ★★★8623387214+25.45$125.45$
03/12/25 08:00SHORT ★★★9391692735+35.66$161.11$
11/12/25 17:00SHORT ★★★★9000189666+20.29$181.40$
13/12/25 16:00SHORT ★★★9029989940+12.56$193.96$
31/12/25 08:00LONG ★★★★8845589068+55.60$249.56$
02/01/26 16:00LONG ★★★★8890088775-32.52$217.04$
05/01/26 16:00LONG ★★★9249292684+4.74$221.78$
07/01/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★9195391213+75.93$297.71$
08/01/26 08:00SHORT ★★★★9078089875+130.62$428.33$
08/01/26 09:00LONG ★★★8971389927+12.75$441.08$
13/01/26 17:00LONG ★★★9207692676+58.62$499.71$
16/01/26 16:00SHORT ★★★9538395575-40.25$459.45$
28/01/26 17:00LONG ★★★8910789746+68.65$528.10$
29/01/26 16:00SHORT ★★★★8779587071+186.21$714.32$
05/02/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★6953368869+298.34$1012.66$
06/02/26 08:00SHORT ★★★★6615465240+638.42$1651.07$
08/02/26 09:00LONG ★★★★6930369781+470.32$2121.40$
12/02/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★★6783266474+1997.40$4118.79$
18/02/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★6810067727+881.61$5000.40$
19/02/26 16:00SHORT ★★★6646966702-588.93$4411.48$
17/03/26 17:00LONG ★★★★7371174663+2583.34$6994.82$
14/04/26 16:00LONG ★★★★7447274902+1598.54$8593.36$
06/05/26 17:00LONG ★★★★8143281837+1623.99$10217.34$
08/05/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★8016279851+1373.71$11591.06$
10/05/26 16:00LONG ★★★★8083781148+1539.61$13130.67$
12/05/26 17:00SHORT ★★★8074380178+1902.12$15032.79$
19/05/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★7667777015-4216.50$10816.29$
23/05/26 17:00SHORT ★★★7554375656-730.32$10085.98$
28/05/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★7347973289+698.84$10784.82$
17/06/26 09:00SHORT ★★★★6581965318+3457.52$14242.34$
18/06/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★6394062846+11332.40$25574.74$
24/06/26 16:00SHORT ★★★★6241760435+39065.69$64640.43$
16/07/26 08:00LONG ★★★6461664854+4006.78$68647.21$
17/07/26 08:00SHORT ★★★★6345862868+27753.18$96400.39$
18/07/26 16:00LONG ★★★★6397764140+6496.34$102896.73$
20/07/26 08:00LONG ★★★★6409963975-16106.46$86790.26$
27/07/26 17:00LONG ★★★6448264387-5783.57$81006.70$
28/07/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★6343163578-14286.92$66719.78$
31/07/26 16:00SHORT ★★★★6368963103+26677.97$93397.75$
06/08/26 17:00LONG ★★★★6459064303-26381.18$67016.57$
08/08/26 16:00LONG ★★★★6498165107+2502.18$69518.75$
11/08/26 16:00SHORT ★★★6420563769+9736.79$79255.54$
18/08/26 17:00SHORT ★★★6498964690+6738.29$85993.83$
19/08/26 09:00LONG ★★★★6419564733+30908.57$116902.41$
21/08/26 08:00LONG ★★★★7510376994+140138.66$257041.07$
22/08/26 08:00LONG ★★★★7711576743-77461.65$179579.42$
06/09/26 09:00SHORT ★★★7987279351+23897.25$203476.67$
21/09/26 09:00LONG ★★★★8140481913+51468.70$254945.37$
24/09/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★8407084685-108433.07$146512.30$
01/10/26 17:00LONG ★★★★8387884522+47410.20$193922.50$
10/10/26 17:00LONG ★★★★8283783017+9433.82$203356.32$
11/10/26 16:00LONG ★★★8300083208+6655.02$210011.34$
12/10/26 08:00LONG ★★★★8379683489-51118.22$158893.12$
24/10/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★8056379937+52198.67$211091.79$
Méthodologie (walk-forward strict) : chaque étoile est calculée UNIQUEMENT avec les bougies jusqu'à la formation de la zone · fraîcheur rejouée entre formation et entrée (une zone percée avant l'entrée est annulée) · TP/SL 100% locaux à la zone (SL = bord + 25% de hauteur, TP1 = 1R, TP2 = 2R — jamais le prix final) · confirmation (toucher + clôture dans le sens) puis fill au bord de zone à la bougie suivante · sortie simulée bougie par bougie, SL-first sur ambiguïté · 3★ demi-taille / 4★+ pleine · frais 0,12% · 50x réinvesti · 1 position max · killzones Asie (2h-4h, Tokyo 9h-11h) / London (8h-10h) / NY (15h30-17h30, heure Bruxelles) testées en variantes (crypto 24/7).
⚠️ Franchise : backtest idéal (pas de slippage/spread/funding, liquidité parfaite). Échantillon court = pas significatif statistiquement. En réel, attends-toi à beaucoup moins. Le risque = le drawdown à 50x : prévois 20-25x de levier réel pour diviser le DD par 2.
Généré le 11/11/2026 12:22:49 — données Binance Futures BTCUSDT 1h. ← Tous les backtests