◎ Backtest 12 mois — SOLUSDT perp 1h · 50$ · 50x · réinvesti

2025-11-11 → 2026-11-113★ KZ BOTH · halfwalk-forward strict (zéro look-ahead)
Capital final224091.43$+448082.9% sur la période
Trades6134 longs · 27 shorts
Winrate66%40W / 21L
Drawdown max-69.8%à 50x — surveiller

📈 Courbe d'équité (50$ → 224091.43$)

244511$50$

📊 Variantes testées

VarianteCapital finalTradesDD
3★ KZ BOTH · half224091.43$6169.8%
3★ sans killzone · half224091.43$6169.8%
3★ KZ NY · half18250.23$4769.8%
3★ KZ LDN · tp1813.82$1463.5%
3★ KZ LDN · tp2813.82$1463.5%
3★ KZ LDN · half613.94$1437.9%
4★ KZ NY · tp2-115.61$7122.5%
3★ KZ NY · tp1-365.79$13122.5%
3★ KZ NY · tp2-365.79$13122.5%
3★ KZ BOTH · tp1-632.40$16122.5%
3★ sans killzone · tp1-632.40$16122.5%
3★ KZ BOTH · tp2-632.40$16122.5%
3★ sans killzone · tp2-632.40$16122.5%

Les 61 trades

Date entréeSensEntréeSortieP&LCapital
23/11/25 16:00SHORT ★★★★133131+13.27$63.27$
24/11/25 16:00LONG ★★★130131+12.75$76.02$
01/01/26 09:00SHORT ★★★125125-2.28$73.74$
02/01/26 17:00LONG ★★★128129+2.10$75.84$
05/01/26 16:00LONG ★★★134135+11.51$87.34$
05/01/26 17:00LONG ★★★★135140+112.99$200.34$
06/01/26 16:00LONG ★★★★139141+72.84$273.18$
07/01/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★138136+93.22$366.40$
08/01/26 08:00SHORT ★★★137133+191.32$557.72$
12/01/26 16:00LONG ★★★★140141+86.11$643.82$
16/01/26 16:00SHORT ★★★143141+134.67$778.50$
25/01/26 16:00SHORT ★★★127126+57.28$835.78$
27/01/26 17:00LONG ★★★124126+221.68$1057.46$
31/01/26 09:00SHORT ★★★118117+114.87$1172.33$
02/02/26 16:00SHORT ★★★★105105-122.68$1049.65$
06/02/26 16:00SHORT ★★★★8587-695.34$354.30$
12/02/26 17:00SHORT ★★★8178+202.53$556.83$
14/02/26 09:00LONG ★★★★8585+89.77$646.60$
16/02/26 08:00SHORT ★★★★8586-200.26$446.35$
20/02/26 17:00LONG ★★★8481-13.39$432.96$
04/03/26 16:00LONG ★★★9092+231.25$664.21$
11/03/26 08:00LONG ★★★8685-67.06$597.15$
29/03/26 16:00SHORT ★★★8280+231.09$828.24$
14/04/26 16:00LONG ★★★8687+169.29$997.54$
19/04/26 08:00SHORT ★★★★8585+235.54$1233.08$
06/05/26 09:00LONG ★★★★8789+813.42$2046.50$
07/05/26 17:00LONG ★★★★8890+1249.19$3295.69$
22/05/26 17:00LONG ★★★8686-98.87$3196.82$
23/05/26 17:00SHORT ★★★8484-131.43$3065.39$
01/06/26 09:00SHORT ★★★8279+1965.53$5030.92$
02/06/26 17:00SHORT ★★★7978+536.61$5567.52$
05/06/26 16:00SHORT ★★★★6562+10063.46$15630.98$
09/06/26 17:00LONG ★★★6564-468.93$15162.06$
16/06/26 09:00LONG ★★★7475+4849.03$20011.08$
29/06/26 16:00LONG ★★★★7376+24175.46$44186.55$
17/07/26 16:00LONG ★★★★★7474+13666.68$57853.23$
17/07/26 17:00SHORT ★★★7574+6609.73$64462.96$
22/07/26 17:00LONG ★★★7877-1933.89$62529.07$
23/07/26 17:00LONG ★★★★7676-16823.06$45706.01$
25/07/26 16:00SHORT ★★★7474-1371.18$44334.83$
26/07/26 17:00LONG ★★★★7575+5107.83$49442.66$
08/08/26 17:00LONG ★★★7676+6182.85$55625.51$
09/08/26 09:00LONG ★★★7676-638.97$54986.54$
13/08/26 17:00SHORT ★★★7676-301.36$54685.18$
21/08/26 08:00LONG ★★★8991+13294.47$67979.66$
22/08/26 08:00LONG ★★★9294+26147.82$94127.48$
25/08/26 08:00SHORT ★★★★★103102+35456.05$129583.53$
26/08/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★9698-79808.92$49774.61$
28/08/26 17:00LONG ★★★★104106+29739.53$79514.13$
03/09/26 16:00SHORT ★★★102102-6650.68$72863.45$
06/09/26 17:00LONG ★★★105105-4783.72$68079.74$
07/09/26 16:00LONG ★★★105105-4778.78$63300.95$
09/09/26 16:00SHORT ★★★★105103+24588.36$87889.31$
18/09/26 16:00LONG ★★★★106108+60649.83$148539.15$
28/09/26 17:00SHORT ★★★119121-34773.32$113765.83$
30/09/26 16:00LONG ★★★120119-13796.97$99968.86$
30/09/26 17:00LONG ★★★★★118120+45444.64$145413.50$
10/10/26 17:00LONG ★★★★★110110+24791.66$170205.16$
20/10/26 16:00LONG ★★★104105+15563.19$185768.35$
07/11/26 17:00SHORT ★★★★9089+58742.23$244510.57$
10/11/26 16:00SHORT ★★★8585-20419.15$224091.43$
Méthodologie (walk-forward strict) : chaque étoile est calculée UNIQUEMENT avec les bougies jusqu'à la formation de la zone · fraîcheur rejouée entre formation et entrée (une zone percée avant l'entrée est annulée) · TP/SL 100% locaux à la zone (SL = bord + 25% de hauteur, TP1 = 1R, TP2 = 2R — jamais le prix final) · confirmation (toucher + clôture dans le sens) puis fill au bord de zone à la bougie suivante · sortie simulée bougie par bougie, SL-first sur ambiguïté · 3★ demi-taille / 4★+ pleine · frais 0,12% · 50x réinvesti · 1 position max · killzones London/NY testées en variantes (crypto 24/7).
⚠️ Franchise : backtest idéal (pas de slippage/spread/funding, liquidité parfaite). Échantillon court = pas significatif statistiquement. En réel, attends-toi à beaucoup moins. Le risque = le drawdown à 50x : prévois 20-25x de levier réel pour diviser le DD par 2.
Généré le 11/11/2026 12:07:24 — données Binance Futures SOLUSDT 1h. ← Tous les backtests